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La producción de leche en Nueva Zelanda alcanzó un record para el mes de junio, con 131 mil toneladas de leche —3,1% más que un año atrás—marcando un buen comienzo de zafra 2012/13. Luego de un muy buen ejercicio 2011/12, con record de producción de leche y un crecimiento de 10,3%, los analistas están divididos sobre si será posible seguir en esa misma línea de aumento de la remisión, informó Agrimoney, teniendo en cuenta que para ese logro ayudó mucho el clima estimulando la producción forrajera.
Los muy buenos niveles productivos de la pasada zafra son vistos como uno de los motivos de la baja de precios ocurrida este año, ante la acumulación de stocks que se dio no solo en este país sino también en los países exportadores del Hemisferio Sur.
Record de exportaciones. Los altos stocks acumulados producto de esa buena zafra provocaron un aumento en las ventas de lácteos al exterior en junio, de 33% -a US$ 892 millones- ayudando al país a lograr superávit comercial en ese mes, revirtiendo la tendencia hacia el déficit que se venía perfilando. En particular, los embarques de leche en polvo entera casi duplicaron en valor, debido principalmente a los mayores envíos hacia China, el principal comprador mundial. Fonterra, neozelandesa líder mundial en exportaciones de lácteos, alcanzó record de embarques al exterior en el trimestre mayo-julio, alcanzando las 620 mil toneladas, por encima del nivel promedio de 450 mil toneladas.
Australia. También en este país la producción creció en junio, 4,3%, a 684,6 millones de litros, liderada por un aumento de 5,6% en Victoria, principal estado lechero australiano. De esta forma la zafra 2011/12 cierra con una producción de 9.480 millones de litros, 4,2% más que la zafra anterior.
¿Sequía? La probable ocurrencia del fenómeno El Niño –que trae falta de agua a aquella zona- podría poner paños fríos a esta tendencia al crecimiento en el inicio de la nueva zafra, ayudando a recuperar los precios internacionales, según los informes de analistas internacionales. También la sequía en EEUU, que está provocando mayor envío de vacas lecheras a faena, podría ayudar en este sentido, si bien por ahora la producción viene creciendo, aunque a menor ritmo.
