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El último informe de CREA indica que a noviembre de 2010 se declararon exportaciones de quesos por un total de 38,1 mil de t, representando un valor total de 153,8 mill. de u$s. Dicho volumen registra una caída de 18% en relación al total exportado durante el mismo período de 2009, según datos de SENASA. En la primera quincena de enero, el precio promedio de la leche entera en polvo en Oceanía fue de 3.737,5 u$s/t, mientras que en Europa el valor alcanzó 3.837,5 u$s/t. Por su parte, el queso cheddar en Oceanía registró un valor promedio de 4.350 u$s/t.
Según un informe elaborado por el Rabobank, se prevé un incremento en los precios globales de los productos lácteos para el primer trimestre de 2011. Esta situación se generaría como consecuencia de una caída en la oferta mundial durante los próximos meses a causa de las condiciones de sequía en Nueva Zelanda y las inundaciones en Australia. Se espera que los precios aumenten, en términos nominales, de manera estable y sostenible a un ritmo mayor al 2% anual en promedio, impulsados tanto por el aumento de la demanda como por el incremento de los costos.
De acuerdo con la OECD-FAO, en 2010 la producción mundial de quesos fue del orden de los 20,6 mill. de t, 2% más que en 2009. Argentina se ubicó como el 4º productor y el 6º exportador mundial de quesos durante 2010, con una participación del 3,3% del total en términos de volumen según datos del USDA.
Por su parte, la elaboración de quesos en nuestro país durante el 1º trimestre de 2010, presentó una participación de 33,2% en el total de productos salidos de fábrica -en toneladas-, exportándose durante el período considerado 9,5 mil t de quesos a un valor promedio de 3.910 u$s/t FOB, según datos de MAGyP. Dicho volumen implica un incremento de 18% respecto del 1º trimestre de 2009.
Proyecciones de la OECD-FAO estiman un incremento de la producción mundial de quesos a 2011 de 1,8% respecto de 2010, trasladando el volumen total a 21 mill. de t. A su vez, se estima que a 2018 la producción será un 15% superior. En relación al consumo, las proyecciones a 2018 prevén un aumento en el consumo per cápita mundial de 6% con respecto a 2010. Sudáfrica, Indonesia, Corea, Ucrania, Argelia y Rusia son los países que mayor alza en el consumo per cápita registrarán durante 2011, oscilando este incremento entre el 13% y 3% según cada país.
